The Knowledge Base

The Ecotones.

Legacy institutions analyze sectors in isolation. The organism maps reality by observing the boundaries where systems collide.

In ecology, an ecotone is a region of transition between two biological communities. It is where the most dynamic evolutionary pressure occurs. The Circle applies this framework to the global economy.

A power grid reaching capacity in Texas is not an infrastructure story; it is an electronic labour constraint that prices out AI deployment, triggering a liquidity cascade for data center debt. The organism observes the F.I.R.E. vectors simultaneously to locate these transitions.

Finance

Liquidity / Debt / Capital Markets

The circulatory fluid. The organism monitors systemic liquidity, Fed reverse repo facilities, unlisted toxic debt in commercial real estate, and crypto-fiat settlement layers.

Primary Ecotone: Macro Insurance Pricing

Insurance

Catastrophe / Parametric / Liabilities

The immune system. Institutional capital retreating from physical infrastructure risk. The organism tracks parametric triggers, un-insurable coastal grids, and cyber-liability write-offs.

Primary Ecotone: Physical Infrastructure Collapse

Real Infrastructure

Base-load Power / Supply Chains / Logistics

The skeleton. Nuclear baseload required for datacenter expansion. Copper deficits. Strategic logistics corridors. The hard physics of the transition that cannot be abstracted.

Primary Ecotone: Electronic Labour Constraint

Electronic Labour

AI Agents / Robotics / Automation Rates

The muscle. The replacement of cognitive white-collar labor with autonomous agentic systems. Cost collapse in intelligence generation. We are observing the decoupling of productivity from human employment.

Primary Ecotone: Finance Liquidity Shifts